Rouen 4-3 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 28 Feb 2025

Rouen
4-3 HT 4-1
Concarneau
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Rouen vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
16%
4.13
X/2
7%
8.94
X/X
15%
4.73
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
12%
7.43
2/X
6%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rouen v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.35/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.43
-16% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rouen vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Concarneau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 1-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen squeezed past Concarneau 4-3. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rouen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Concarneau?

Rouen 4-3 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rouen 48%, draw 26%, Concarneau 26%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rouen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rouen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
28 Feb 2025
00:00 Valenciennes vs Versailles Analysis →
21:30 Nancy vs Boulogne Analysis →
21:30 Nimes vs Villefranche Analysis →
21:30 Paris 13 Atletico vs Bourg en Bresse 01 Analysis →
21:30 Aubagne vs Dijon Analysis →
21:30 Le Mans FC vs Quevilly Analysis →