Cobresal 0-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.47/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.38
+5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.1 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY La Serena
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
198 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
11.05.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİK
24.02.2025 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
28.01.2025 Cobresal Cobresal 1-2 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
06.08.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
12.03.2022 La Serena La Serena 2-3 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
0-1
AWAY La Serena
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
389 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena edged past Cobresal 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cobresal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cobresal had 58% of the ball to La Serena's 42%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cobresal and 1.17 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs La Serena?

Cobresal 0-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 43%, draw 26%, La Serena 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cobresal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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