Union La Calera 3-0 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.35
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.4 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 4-3 HT 1-3 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
26.04.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
02.09.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
15.04.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
25.09.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
19.03.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
3-0
AWAY Audax Italiano
2.12 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera swept aside Audax Italiano 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union La Calera as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Union La Calera had 53% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 47%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 2.12 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union La Calera and 1.50 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano?

Union La Calera 3-0 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 46%, draw 26%, Audax Italiano 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union La Calera), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
28 Feb 2026
00:00 Cobresal vs La Serena Analysis →
18:00 Coquimbo Unido vs Concepcion Analysis →