KaPa 1-0 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.93/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.66
+144% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY PK-35 ry
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2025 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-1 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
09.07.2025 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
18.05.2025 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 4-0 HT 2-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
22.09.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
31.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
13.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 3-0 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-0
AWAY PK-35 ry
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
POST-MATCH KaPa vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa squeezed past PK-35 ry 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was PK-35 ry at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KaPa had 43% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 57%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for KaPa and 1.83 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of KaPa vs PK-35 ry?

KaPa 1-0 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykköscup on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated an PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KaPa 35%, draw 24%, PK-35 ry 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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