Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados De Sinaloa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Dorados De Sinaloa — Team-Based Signals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados De Sinaloa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Dorados De Sinaloa
MEK2
3-0
HT 3-0
Dorados De Sinaloa
MEK2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-2 Dorados De Sinaloa — Actual Match Statistics
Alebrijes de Oaxaca edged past Dorados De Sinaloa 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alebrijes de Oaxaca as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had 60% of the ball to Dorados De Sinaloa's 40%, shots finished 18-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.00 for Dorados De Sinaloa.
What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados De Sinaloa?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-2 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados De Sinaloa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 53%, draw 22%, Dorados De Sinaloa 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.