Correcaminos UAT 2-2 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.39/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.66
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.04.2025 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 4-0 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
25.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.03.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
17.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
21.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2-2
AWAY CD Tapatio
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT and CD Tapatio shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Tapatio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Correcaminos UAT had 63% of the ball to CD Tapatio's 37%, shots finished 18-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 2.50 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs CD Tapatio?

Correcaminos UAT 2-2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 34%, draw 22%, CD Tapatio 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Tapatio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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