Novi Pazar vs Backa Topola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novi Pazar v Backa Topola — Team-Based Signals
Novi Pazar vs Backa Topola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
Novi Pazar 2-0 Backa Topola — Actual Match Statistics
Novi Pazar saw off Backa Topola 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Novi Pazar had 42% of the ball to Backa Topola's 58%, shots finished 8-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Novi Pazar and 2.17 for Backa Topola.
What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Backa Topola?
Novi Pazar 2-0 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Backa Topola?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 50%, draw 23%, Backa Topola 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.