Aarau vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Aarau 2-2 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau and Etoile Carouge shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aarau had 44% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 56%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.93 to 1.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aarau and 1.00 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
Aarau 2-2 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aarau 44%, draw 33%, Etoile Carouge 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.