Thun vs Neuchatel Xamax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Neuchatel Xamax — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Neuchatel Xamax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
4-0
HT 1-0
Thun
İSV2
Thun 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Actual Match Statistics
Thun nicked a narrow win over Neuchatel Xamax 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Thun had 48% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 52%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.52 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Thun's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thun and 1.83 for Neuchatel Xamax.
What was the final score of Thun vs Neuchatel Xamax?
Thun 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Neuchatel Xamax?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Thun 51%, draw 25%, Neuchatel Xamax 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.