Santos de Guapiles 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-9.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 54%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.23/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.11
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
11.11.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-3 HT 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
15.09.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
05.09.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTK
13.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 2-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
11.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles saw off Deportivo Saprissa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Santos de Guapiles found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santos de Guapiles had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 47%, shots finished 10-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 2.17 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Santos de Guapiles 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 31%, draw 29%, Deportivo Saprissa 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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28 Mar 2025
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