Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+20% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.09/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.21
+36% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
25.11.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-7 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
12.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
12.03.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
06.11.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
06.02.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers edged past Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 62% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 38%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.50 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 44%, draw 25%, Hemel Hempstead Town 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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