Farnborough 2-2 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
48%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 26% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
48%
Away Win
39%
+9.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.2pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.42/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.53
+5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-0D-3L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.08.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 3-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
04.03.2025 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
03.09.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough and AFC Hornchurch couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Hornchurch at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Hornchurch led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Farnborough and 1.67 for AFC Hornchurch.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch?

Farnborough 2-2 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 31%, draw 21%, AFC Hornchurch 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Over 2.5
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