Chippenham Town 0-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.95
Over 2.5
62%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.38
2-3 Goals
33%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
6+ Goals
15%
11.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-10.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+10.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.8pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.48/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.52
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-3 HT 3-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
23.08.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
05.04.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
26.08.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
11.11.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
07.01.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
0-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City squeezed past Chippenham Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 63% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 37%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.67 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford City?

Chippenham Town 0-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 29%, draw 21%, Chelmsford City 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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