Chelmsford City 4-3 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.9pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.25/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.96
+48% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +95%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
05.04.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
26.08.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
11.11.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
07.01.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
23.08.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
4-3
AWAY Chippenham Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 50% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 50%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chelmsford City and 0.83 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town?

Chelmsford City 4-3 Chippenham Town in the England - FA Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 51%, draw 24%, Chippenham Town 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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