Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.81
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.65
X/2
14%
5.61
X/X
8%
4.41
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
23%
3.77
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.20/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.17
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
19.2 Crosses 21.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
304 Passes 163
71% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
08.02.2020 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
10.08.2019 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
16.02.2019 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
08.12.2018 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-2 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
03.10.2017 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
219 Passes 232
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra squeezed past Oldham Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oldham Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 47% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 53%, shots finished 18-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.00 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Oldham Athletic?

Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 31%, draw 25%, Oldham Athletic 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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