Harrogate Town 0-2 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.88
1/2
8%
23.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
10%
7.77
X/2
17%
4.52
X/X
8%
4.82
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.56
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.03/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.16
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.9 Crosses 22.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Notts County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.69
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
197 Passes 492
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Notts County Notts County 1-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
26.04.2025 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
26.10.2024 Notts County Notts County 1-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
06.04.2024 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
16.12.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
22.09.2020 Notts County Notts County 0-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
0-2
AWAY Notts County
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
308 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County beat Harrogate Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 53% of the ball to Notts County's 47%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.50 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Notts County?

Harrogate Town 0-2 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 26%, draw 24%, Notts County 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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