Notts County vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Notts County v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Notts County
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Harrogate Town
FAK
3-1
HT 2-0
Notts County
İBSL
Notts County 1-1 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County and Harrogate Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Notts County at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Notts County had 72% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 28%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.94 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Notts County and 1.33 for Harrogate Town.
What was the final score of Notts County vs Harrogate Town?
Notts County 1-1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Notts County vs Harrogate Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Notts County 66%, draw 19%, Harrogate Town 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.