Salford City 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.19
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
11%
6.04
X/2
19%
5.32
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.45
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.28/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.14
+5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
249 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 71%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.6 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.36 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
260 Passes 328
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.11.2025 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 2-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
04.01.2025 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
02.09.2024 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
09.03.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-1 HT 3-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
25.11.2023 Salford City Salford City 2-4 HT 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-0
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.16 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
197 Passes 151
60% Pass Accuracy 51%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City nicked a narrow win over Milton Keynes Dons 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Salford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Salford City had 53% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 47%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salford City and 1.80 for Milton Keynes Dons.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Salford City 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Salford City 34%, draw 26%, Milton Keynes Dons 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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