Crawley Town 2-0 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.08
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.13
X/2
11%
6.6
X/X
14%
4.7
2/1
8%
24.8
2/2
13%
4.56
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.46/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.40
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
18.8 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gillingham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 204
73% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Gillingham Gillingham 2-2 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
26.12.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
19.08.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
04.02.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
22.11.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
10.08.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
2-0
AWAY Gillingham
0.90 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
234 Passes 195
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town beat Gillingham 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crawley Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 51% of the ball to Gillingham's 49%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crawley Town and 1.00 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Gillingham?

Crawley Town 2-0 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 42%, draw 27%, Gillingham 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crawley Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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