Bristol Rovers 2-0 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 34% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.31
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
10%
8.76
X/X
15%
4.68
2/1
12%
24.8
2/2
13%
7.26
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.55
+4% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
259 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 61%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.0 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.07 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 206
64% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-1 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
14.01.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
24.09.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
09.03.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4-1 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
02.02.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 6-1 HT 4-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
07.09.2019 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 3-3 HT 2-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
2-0
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.16 xG 0.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
122 Passes 195
53% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers beat Accrington Stanley 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bristol Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 42% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 58%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bristol Rovers and 2.67 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Bristol Rovers 2-0 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 45%, draw 26%, Accrington Stanley 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bristol Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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