Swindon Town 1-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

Swindon Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Fleetwood Town
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Swindon Town vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.87
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
4.83
X/2
9%
6.97
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.8
2/2
16%
5.05
2/X
5%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swindon Town v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.36/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.30
+11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 71%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.2 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Swindon Town vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
249 Passes 243
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.11.2025 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
05.04.2025 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-4 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
07.12.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
20.03.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
12.12.2020 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
01.04.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1

Swindon Town 1-1 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
1-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.23 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
251 Passes 179
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
16 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town and Fleetwood Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Swindon Town had 55% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 45%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.23 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Swindon Town and 0.50 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Fleetwood Town?

Swindon Town 1-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 44%, draw 25%, Fleetwood Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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