Morpeth Town vs Leek Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Morpeth Town v Leek Town — Team-Based Signals
Morpeth Town vs Leek Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Leek Town edged past Morpeth Town 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 28% — and on the day Leek Town made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Morpeth Town and 0.50 for Leek Town.
What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Leek Town?
Morpeth Town 0-1 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Leek Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 38%, draw 34%, Leek Town 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Morpeth Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.