Alcione 1-1 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 37% vs market 35.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.93/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.55
-19% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcione İTC
22.03.2025 Alcione 1-2 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
08.11.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcione İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
1-1
AWAY Pro Vercelli
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione and Pro Vercelli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alcione had 45% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 55%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Alcione and 1.33 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Pro Vercelli?

Alcione 1-1 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alcione 33%, draw 31%, Pro Vercelli 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pro Vercelli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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