Al Rayyan 3-3 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.61
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.55
No
34%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
17%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-4.8pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-2.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+2.1pp
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.5pp
34%
BTTS No
40%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.01/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/3.17
+18% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
14.3 Crosses 4.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Umm Salal
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.73 xG 0.89
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
436 Passes 207
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
10.01.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-6 HT 2-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
16.11.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
09.08.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
12.03.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
21.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
3-3
AWAY Umm Salal
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan and Umm Salal couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Rayyan at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 63% of the ball to Umm Salal's 37%, shots finished 23-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Rayyan and 1.33 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?

Al Rayyan 3-3 Umm Salal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 57%, draw 19%, Umm Salal 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Rayyan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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