Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 51%
+14% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.26/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.84
+27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Libertad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.37 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
180 Passes 420
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
26.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
23.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad CSA
20.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
16.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano CSA
26.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0-0
AWAY Libertad
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano and Libertad played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 51% of the ball to Libertad's 49%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 0.83 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 30%, draw 26%, Libertad 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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