Fafe 1-2 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 50%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.46/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.68
-60% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
10.01.2026 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-4 HT 0-2 Fafe Fafe POR3
05.10.2025 Fafe Fafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
11.01.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 4-1 HT 1-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
28.09.2024 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
29.04.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-2
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Fafe vs Sao Joao Ver
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sao Joao Ver edged past Fafe 2-1 away from home in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28 Apr 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Fafe had 57% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 43%, shots finished 8-14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fafe and 1.00 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Sao Joao Ver?

Fafe 1-2 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fafe 33%, draw 24%, Sao Joao Ver 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →