União de Leiria U23 1-0 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.01/2.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.07
+35% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME União de Leiria U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2026 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-0 HT 1-0 União de Leiria U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
1-0
AWAY Rio Ave U23
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

União de Leiria U23 squeezed past Rio Ave U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; União de Leiria U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 43% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 57%, shots finished 9-19.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

União de Leiria U23 1-0 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 40%, draw 25%, Rio Ave U23 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (União de Leiria U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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