Portimonense U23 1-2 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 51%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.01/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.50
-34% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +138%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Farense U23
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2026 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
22.12.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
08.10.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
08.04.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
29.01.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
30.10.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-2
AWAY Farense U23
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 edged past Portimonense U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 33% of the ball to Farense U23's 67%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.33 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Farense U23?

Portimonense U23 1-2 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 32%, draw 21%, Farense U23 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✗ Under 2.5
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