Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.3pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.76/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.69
-51% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.02.2026 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-1 HT 1-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
30.04.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
25.02.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-5 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-2
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
60% Ball Possession 40%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 edged past Estoril U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gil Vicente U23 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 60% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 40%, shots finished 4-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.60 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 33%, draw 22%, Gil Vicente U23 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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