Benfica U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.26
-38% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Famalicao U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2026 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 4-0 HT 3-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
05.03.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
08.01.2025 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
16.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-2
AWAY Famalicao U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 squeezed past Benfica U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 46% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 54%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benfica U23 and 2.20 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Benfica U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 44%, draw 22%, Famalicao U23 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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