Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
-0.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +20%
2.12/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.64
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Gagra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2026 Gagra Gagra 2-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
17.10.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
03.08.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
24.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
27.11.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
1-2
AWAY Gagra
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra edged past Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Torpedo Kutaisi carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 69% of the ball to Gagra's 31%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.83 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 65%, draw 19%, Gagra 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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