Atyrau 1-1 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 May 2026

Atyrau
1-1 HT 0-1
Tobol
📅28/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
0.89/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.30
-13% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tobol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13.09.2025 Atyrau Atyrau 1-0 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
30.05.2025 Tobol Tobol 5-0 HT 3-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
31.08.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-1 HT 0-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
23.06.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
19.06.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 4-0 HT 2-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
29.05.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau and Tobol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atyrau and 1.17 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Tobol?

Atyrau 1-1 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 36%, draw 26%, Tobol 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tobol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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