Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +27%
1.06/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.83
-8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kairat
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
29.06.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-1 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
14.05.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
08.03.2025 Kairat Kairat 4-0 HT 3-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
02.11.2024 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
31.03.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
20.08.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent squeezed past Kairat 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ordabasy Shymkent found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.50 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat?

Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 31%, draw 30%, Kairat 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kairat), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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