Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Aug 2026

📅28/08/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Villarreal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.46
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 392
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2026 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
10.01.2026 Villarreal Villarreal 3-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
08.03.2025 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
09.11.2024 Villarreal Villarreal 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
10.02.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-1 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
22.10.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
PREVIEW Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

This is one of the day's tightest calls on our numbers — no outcome separates itself.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Deportivo Alaves's last 5 home league games, and both teams have scored in 4 of Villarreal's last 5 away league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.50 for Villarreal.

Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Kick-off Time

Deportivo Alaves play Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/08/2026, kick-off 22:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal is an Villarreal win at about 41% probability, priced 2.23 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Deportivo Alaves 32%, draw 27%, Villarreal 41%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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