Millwall vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millwall v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals
Millwall vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Millwall
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Preston North End
İNCL
2-4
HT 2-2
Millwall
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Millwall
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Preston North End
İNCL
Millwall 3-1 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall saw off Preston North End 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Millwall as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Millwall had 36% of the ball to Preston North End's 64%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.63 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Millwall and 0.83 for Preston North End.
What was the final score of Millwall vs Preston North End?
Millwall 3-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millwall vs Preston North End?
Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Millwall 43%, draw 28%, Preston North End 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.