Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNLK
4-3
HT 1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
HAZPL
1-2
HT 1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
4-1
HT 3-0
Chelsea
İNP
Chelsea 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea got the better of Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Chelsea had 41% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 59%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 4.16 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chelsea and 2.00 for Brighton & Hove Albion.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Chelsea 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 50%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.