Utebo vs Real Sociedad III Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utebo v Real Sociedad III — Team-Based Signals
Utebo vs Real Sociedad III Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Real Sociedad III
İS4
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Sociedad III
İS4
1-1
HT 1-0
Utebo
İS4
Utebo 4-2 Real Sociedad III — Actual Match Statistics
Utebo saw off Real Sociedad III 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Utebo had 60% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 40%, shots finished 21-9.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Utebo and 0.50 for Real Sociedad III.
What was the final score of Utebo vs Real Sociedad III?
Utebo 4-2 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utebo vs Real Sociedad III?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Utebo 51%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad III 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.