Meppen 4-0 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.33
Over Pick
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 33%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.42/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.77
+44% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Havelse
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Meppen Meppen 4-1 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
15.10.2023 Havelse Havelse 4-2 HT 2-1 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
05.02.2022 Havelse Havelse 3-0 HT 1-0 Meppen Meppen AL3
30.08.2021 Meppen Meppen 1-0 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse AL3
POST-MATCH Meppen vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen swept aside Havelse 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Meppen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Meppen and 2.00 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Meppen vs Havelse?

Meppen 4-0 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Meppen 44%, draw 26%, Havelse 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meppen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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