Nürnberg II 4-0 Eintracht Bamberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Bamberg EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.53/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.32
+18% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +56%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Eintracht Bamberg
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg 2-6 HT 0-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-0 HT 3-0 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg ALMBÖL
26.09.2014 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Eintracht Bamberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II swept aside Eintracht Bamberg 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Nürnberg II and 1.00 for Eintracht Bamberg.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Eintracht Bamberg?

Nürnberg II 4-0 Eintracht Bamberg in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Eintracht Bamberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 56%, draw 25%, Eintracht Bamberg 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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