Würzburger Kickers 1-1 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.4pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.8pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.97/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.83
+39% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Würzburger Kickers
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Aubstadt
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
02.04.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 1-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
18.08.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 1-1 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 6-0 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-3 HT 0-2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Würzburger Kickers vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Würzburger Kickers and Aubstadt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Würzburger Kickers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Würzburger Kickers and 0.50 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Würzburger Kickers vs Aubstadt?

Würzburger Kickers 1-1 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Würzburger Kickers vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Würzburger Kickers 50%, draw 28%, Aubstadt 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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