Worthing 3-1 Dartford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.51
Over Pick
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dartford EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.22/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+2% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Dartford
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2024 Dartford Dartford 1-2 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
14.11.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-4 HT 1-3 Dartford Dartford İCON
28.01.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-0 HT 2-0 Dartford Dartford İCON
27.08.2022 Dartford Dartford 1-2 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
3-1
AWAY Dartford
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Dartford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing got the better of Dartford 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Worthing had 50% of the ball to Dartford's 50%, shots finished 13-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Worthing and 1.50 for Dartford.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Dartford?

Worthing 3-1 Dartford in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Dartford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Worthing 51%, draw 20%, Dartford 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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