York United 1-0 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

York United
1-0 HT 1-0
Valour
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Kanada - Premier League – 2025

York United vs Valour Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.0
Over
54%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
28%
3.52
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
20%
3.1
6+
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

York United v Valour — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour The Market 23%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.97/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.74
+54% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.1 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

York United vs Valour Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Valour
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
450 Passes 350
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.08.2025 Valour Valour 0-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
14.07.2025 York United York United 3-2 HT 2-1 Valour Valour KAPL
17.05.2025 Valour Valour 2-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
14.09.2024 York United York United 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
12.08.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
28.06.2024 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL

York United 1-0 Valour — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
1-0
AWAY Valour
0.80 xG 0.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
442 Passes 304
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW York United vs Valour
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

York United edged past Valour 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had York United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 54% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, York United had 58% of the ball to Valour's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for York United and 1.00 for Valour.

York United vs Valour Result & Final Score

York United 1-0 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

York United vs Valour Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split York United 62%, draw 20%, Valour 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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