CD Guadalajara 2-1 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cacereno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
29.09.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
24.02.2024 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-2 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
14.10.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 1-3 HT 0-2 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
19.03.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
30.10.2022 Cacereno Cacereno 1-4 HT 0-2 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-1
AWAY Cacereno
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Cacereno 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; CD Guadalajara found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 51% of the ball to Cacereno's 49%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Guadalajara and 0.83 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno?

CD Guadalajara 2-1 Cacereno in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 38%, draw 28%, Cacereno 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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