Casa Pia 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.91
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
12%
6.04
X/2
11%
5.03
X/X
16%
3.56
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.71
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
0.96/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.08
-38% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.9 Crosses 20.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.16 xG 1.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
242 Passes 442
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
28.09.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
24.02.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 0-2 HT 0-2 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
23.09.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
19.02.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
29.08.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 HT 0-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
0-0
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
0.33 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
208 Passes 277
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casa Pia and Vitoria Guimaraes played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Casa Pia had 44% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 56%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.33 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Casa Pia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Casa Pia and 0.33 for Vitoria Guimaraes.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Casa Pia 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 31%, draw 28%, Vitoria Guimaraes 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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