Aston Villa vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa v Celtic — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa 4-2 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa beat Celtic 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Aston Villa had 58% of the ball to Celtic's 42%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 3.97 to 0.83.
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Celtic?
Aston Villa 4-2 Celtic in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Celtic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 57%, draw 23%, Celtic 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.