Bayern Münih 3-1 Slovan Bratislava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.11
Draw
17%
12.6
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
1.0
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
23.4
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
4.18
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
22%
1.83
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 4.18 — our 33% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✓
48%
34.5
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1
12%
5.07
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
6%
34.5
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
4%
34.5
2/X
7%
34.5
Value flag · 1/1 at 34.5 — our 48% vs market 6.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
87%
-18.3pp
16%
Draw
6%
+10.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.90/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.33
+38% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
567 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
40.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.6 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
3-1
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
3.74 xG 0.98
75% Ball Possession 25%
35 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
687 Passes 194
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
84 Box Touches 22
43 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Slovan Bratislava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih beat Slovan Bratislava 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 75% of the ball to Slovan Bratislava's 25%, shots finished 35-9, expected goals 3.74 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Slovan Bratislava?

Bayern Münih 3-1 Slovan Bratislava in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Slovan Bratislava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 68%, draw 16%, Slovan Bratislava 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5
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