Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 29 Jan 2025

Dinamo Zagreb
2-1 HT 1-0
Milan
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Dinamo Zagreb vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.68
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.35
1/X
6%
17.1
X/1
9%
11.65
X/2
13%
4.17
X/X
13%
6.79
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.85
2/X
6%
15.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.35 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Zagreb v Milan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan EU Bookmakers 66%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.88/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.27/0.72
-6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
272 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 87%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.0
13.3 Crosses 27.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

Dinamo Zagreb vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Milan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.54 xG 2.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 6
388 Passes 398
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
25.10.2022 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 HT 0-1 Milan Milan ŞMP
14.09.2022 Milan Milan 3-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb ŞMP

Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Milan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
AWAY Milan
1.37 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 402
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Milan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Milan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Milan at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 43% of the ball to Milan's 57%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 3.50 for Milan.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Milan?

Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Milan in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Milan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 24%, draw 25%, Milan 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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