Inter 3-0 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 29 Jan 2025

Inter
3-0 HT 2-0
Monaco
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Inter vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.34
2-3 Goals
44%
1.99
4-5 Goals
22%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
6.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
19%
4.54
X/2
6%
10.65
X/X
9%
6.45
2/1
8%
19.3
2/2
10%
7.4
2/X
7%
14.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
2.03/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.52
-55% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.0 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Inter vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Monaco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
279 Passes 315
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 5
The Meetings
16.07.2022 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco HAZ
30.07.2009 Monaco Monaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter HAZ

Inter 3-0 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
3-0
AWAY Monaco
3.89 xG 0.20
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
638 Passes 329
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
49 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter swept aside Monaco 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter had 64% of the ball to Monaco's 36%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 3.89 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inter and 1.00 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Inter vs Monaco?

Inter 3-0 Monaco in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Inter 50%, draw 26%, Monaco 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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