Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz 1-0 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz squeezed past RB Leipzig 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 40% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 60%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.27 to 1.54.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig?
Sturm Graz 1-0 RB Leipzig in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig?
Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 36%, draw 23%, RB Leipzig 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.