Young Boys 0-1 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.93
2-3 Goals
33%
1.93
4-5 Goals
33%
2.65
6+ Goals
16%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.38
1/2
5%
23.85
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.92
X/2
13%
6.15
X/X
7%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.0
2/2
18%
3.59
2/X
11%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 40%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.33/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.05
+22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
24.4 Crosses 15.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.99 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
287 Passes 226
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.11.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 2-0 HT 2-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız ŞMP
04.10.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-2 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys ŞMP
27.08.2019 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys ŞMP
21.08.2019 Young Boys Young Boys 2-2 HT 1-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
0-1
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.44 xG 1.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
237 Passes 349
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 39
19 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız nicked a narrow win over Young Boys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Kızılyıldız made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Young Boys had 41% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 59%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.44 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Young Boys and 1.25 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Kızılyıldız?

Young Boys 0-1 Kızılyıldız in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 38%, draw 26%, Kızılyıldız 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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